30 Years of Nonlinear Dynamics in Geosciences

Program

Sunday, July 3

 

 

 

6:00 PM

 

Conference Registration

 

 

 

8:00 PM

 

Welcome Reception/Dinner

 

 

 

Monday, July 4

 

 

 

7:30 AM

 

Breakfast

 

 

 

9:00 AM

 

Welcome and Opening Remarks

 

 

 

Session I

 

Chair: Anastasios A. Tsonis

9:10 AM

1

Are we measuring the right things for climate?

Christopher Essex

9:40 AM

2

MAOOAM, a new tool for studying coupled ocean-atmosphere dynamics

Lesley De Cruz, Jonathan Demaeyer, and Stéphane Vannitsem

10:00 AM

3

Non-Linear Dynamics of Solid Earth: 1 – Shear-wave splitting indicates critical-systems of fluid-saturated microcracks, the New Geophysics, with non-linear dynamics in the uppermost ~450km of the Earth

Stuart Crampin, Gulten Polat, Yuan Gao, and David Taylor

10:20 AM

4

Non-Linear Dynamics of Solid Earth: 2 – Applications include stress-forecasting/predicting earthquakes, monitoring hydraulic-fracking, amongst others 

Stuart Crampin

10:40 AM

5

Emergence of coherent structures in the ocean and atmosphere

Denny Kirwan, Henry Chang, and Helga Huntley

 

 

 

11:00 AM

 

Coffee Break

 

 

 

Session II

 

Chair: Witold Krajewski

11:30 AM

6

Searching for causality in weakly to moderately coupled dynamical systems

George Sugihara

12:00 PM

7

Period solutions theorem for one kind of Nonlinear Dynamic Systems

Chen Qiao

12:20 PM

8

Multiple climate regimes in an idealized lake-ice-atmosphere model

Sergey Kravtsov, Noriyuki Sugiyama, and Paul Roebber

12:40 PM

9

Investigating large-scale climate dynamics by using networks, lags, information theory and symbolic analysis

Cristina Masoller

1:00 PM

10

Climate Networks and Extreme Events

Juergen Kurths

 

 

 

1:30 PM

 

Lunch/Informal Discussions

 

 

 

7:30 PM

 

Dinner/Informal Discussions at a local Greek Restaurant

Buses depart from the hotel lobby at 7:30 PM

 

 

 

Tuesday, July 5

 

 

 

7:30 AM

 

Breakfast

 

 

 

Session III

 

Chair: Juergen Kurths

9:00 AM

11

Harnessing butterflies for improved monthly, seasonal, and interannual forecasts

Shaun Lovejoy and Lenin del Rio Amador

9:30 AM

12

Global climatic drivers of seasonal influenza

Ethan Deyle

9:50 AM

13

A novel approach in predicting non-stationary time series by combining external forces

Geli Wang, Peicai Yang, and Anastasios Tsonis

10:10 AM

14

Earth's climate complexity

Leonidas Karakatsanis, George Pavlos, Aggelos Iliopoulos, Evgenios pavlos, and Anastasios Tsonis

10:30 AM

15

Coherence in complexity

Denny Kirwan and William Seitz

 

 

 

11:00 AM

 

Coffee Break

 

 

 

Session IV

 

Chair: Demetris  Koutsogiannis

11:30 AM

16

Information transfer across the scales of climate variability

Milan Palus

12:00 PM

17

A SVD-based ensemble projection algorithm for calculating the conditional nonlinear optimal perturbation

Hui Xu, Wansuo Duan, and Lei Chen

12:20 PM

18

A parsimonious stochastic model for wind variability

Panayiotis Dimitriadis and Demetris Koutsoyiannis

12:40 PM

19

Hurst exponent and May & Sugihara method: On glucose incubated erythrocytes subjected to mechanical stress

Bibiana Riquelme and Ana Korol

1:00 PM

20

New methods for solving the nonlinear balance equation

Jie Cao and Qin Xu

1:20 PM

21

Topological analysis of high-resolution temporal rainfall data

Alin Carsteanu

 

 

 

1:50 PM

 

Lunch/Informal Discussions

 

 

 

7:30 PM

 

Dinner/Informal Discussions at a local Greek Restaurant

Buses depart from the hotel lobby at 7:30 PM

 

 

 

Wednesday, July 6

 

 

 

7:30 AM

 

Breakfast

 

 

 

Session V

 

Chair: Denny Kirwan

 

 

 

9:00 AM

22

Chaos, Lie algebras of cascade generators and multifractal calculus

Daniel Schertzer and Ioulia Tchiguirinskaia

9:30 AM

23

Noise-induced cycle suppression as a mechanism for the late quaternary climate response at 100 KYR

Ivan L'Heureux

9:50 AM

24

Subgrid-scale parameterization in a low-order coupled ocean-atmosphere model: A response theory approach

Jonathan Demaeyer and Stéphane Vannitsem

10:10 AM

25

Studying the complexity of rainfall in time and space via a fractal geometric method

Carlos Puente, Mahesh Maskey, and Bellie Sivakumar

10:30 AM

26

Scaling crossover in multiscale phenomena from fluctuation analysis

Surjalal Sharma

 

 

 

11:00 AM

 

Coffee Break

 

 

 

Session VI

 

Chair: Shaun Lovejoy

11:30 AM

27

Supermodeling an objective process by synchronization of different imperfect models - applications to climate

Gregory Duane

12:00 PM

28

Investigating Hilbert frequency dynamics and synchronisation in climate data

Dario

12:20 PM

29

Data-driven climate modeling and prediction

Dmitri Kondrashov

12:40 PM

30

The collective behavior of climate indices in North Pacific air-sea systems and its potential relationships with decadal climate changes

Xiaojuan Wang

1:00 PM

31

The “winter predictability barrier” for IOD events and its error growth dynamics: results from a fully coupled GCM

Rong Feng, Wansuo Duan, and Mu Mu

1:00 PM

32

Scaling of peak flows in a river basin: implications for the future

Witold Krajewski

 

 

 

1:30 PM

 

Lunch/Informal Discussions

 

 

 

3:00 PM

 

City Tour

 

 

Buses depart from hotel lobby at 3:00 PM

 

7:30 PM

 

Dinner/Informal Discussions at a local Greek Restaurant

Please note buses do not pick-up at the hotel prior to dinner.

Dinner proceeds right after the tour

 

 

 

Thursday, July 7

 

 

 

7:30 AM

 

Breakfast

 

 

 

Session VII

 

Chair: Christopher Essex

 

 

 

9:00 AM

33

From fractals to stochastics: seeking theoretical consistency in analysis of geophysical data

Demetris Koutsoyiannis, Federico Lombardo, Panayiotis Dimitriadis, Yannis Markonis, and Spencer Stevens

9:30 AM

34

A study of nonlinear forcing singular vector on predictability of tropical cyclone sea level pressure

Xiaohao Qin and Wansuo Duan

9:50 AM

35

Nonlinear dynamics of oceanic zonal jets

Igor Kamenkovich, Pavel Berloff, and Changheng Chen

10:10 AM

36

The impact of nonlinearity on the targeted observations for typhoon prediction

Feifan Zhou

10:30 AM

37

Tsallis non-extensive statistics and other theoretical presuppositions of time series analysis and applications at Geosciences and Space science

Georgios Pavlos

 

 

 

11:00 AM

 

Coffee Break

 

 

 

Session VIII

 

Chair: Surjalal Sharma

11:30 AM

38

Cautionary remarks on the correlation analysis of non-Gaussian and non-linear time series

Sung Yong Kim

12:00 PM

39

Complex network analysis of extreme precipitation in East Asia

Zhiqiang Gong

12:20 PM

40

The prediction of nonlinear Polar Motions(PMs) based on Artificial Neural Network(ANN) and Fuzzy Inference System(FIS)

Ramazan Alper Kucak, Raşit Ulug, and Orhan Akyilmaz

12:40 PM

41

The flooding in the district of Ouinhi in Benin: a natural disaster potential source of opportunity

Yabi Ibouraïma, Issa Maman Sani, Afouda Fulgence, and Boko Michel

1:00 PM

42

Randomnicity: Rules and randomness in the realm of the infinite

Anastasios Tsonis

 

 

 

1:20 PM

 

Lunch/Informal Discussions

 

 

 

8:00 PM

 

Farewell Dinner

 

 

 

Friday, July 8

 

 

 

7:30 AM

 

Breakfast

 

 

 

9:00 AM

 

Departure